Northern Graphite (Germany) Market Value

0NG Stock  EUR 0.05  0.02  75.66%   
Northern Graphite's market value is the price at which a share of Northern Graphite trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northern Graphite investors about its performance. Northern Graphite is trading at 0.0534 as of the 28th of November 2024. This is a 75.66% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.034.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northern Graphite and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northern Graphite over a given investment horizon. Check out Northern Graphite Correlation, Northern Graphite Volatility and Northern Graphite Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northern Graphite.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Graphite's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Graphite is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Graphite's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northern Graphite 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Graphite's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Graphite.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northern Graphite on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Graphite or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Graphite over 30 days. Northern Graphite is related to or competes with IDP EDUCATION, PT Indofood, Tyson Foods, EEDUCATION ALBERT, TYSON FOODS, Xinhua Winshare, and Beyond Meat. Northern Graphite Corporation explores for and develops mineral properties in Canada More

Northern Graphite Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Graphite's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Graphite upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northern Graphite Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Graphite's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Graphite's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Graphite historical prices to predict the future Northern Graphite's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0536.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0336.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.0536.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details

Northern Graphite Backtested Returns

Northern Graphite is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Northern Graphite has Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which conveys that the firm had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 5.68% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Northern Graphite Downside Deviation of 19.76, mean deviation of 19.72, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0953 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Northern Graphite holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.47, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Northern Graphite are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Northern Graphite is likely to outperform the market. Use Northern Graphite coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to analyze future returns on Northern Graphite.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

Northern Graphite has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Graphite time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Graphite price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Northern Graphite price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Northern Graphite lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northern Graphite stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Graphite's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Graphite returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Graphite has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Northern Graphite regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Graphite stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Graphite stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Graphite stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Northern Graphite Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northern Graphite's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Graphite stock have on its future price. Northern Graphite autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Graphite autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Graphite stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Graphite.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Northern Stock

Northern Graphite financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Graphite security.