AP Moeller (UK) Market Value

0O77 Stock   11,728  300.00  2.49%   
AP Moeller's market value is the price at which a share of AP Moeller trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AP Moeller investors about its performance. AP Moeller is selling for under 11727.50 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 2.49 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 10210.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AP Moeller and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AP Moeller over a given investment horizon. Check out AP Moeller Correlation, AP Moeller Volatility and AP Moeller Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AP Moeller.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AP Moeller's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AP Moeller is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AP Moeller's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AP Moeller 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AP Moeller's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AP Moeller.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AP Moeller on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AP Moeller or generate 0.0% return on investment in AP Moeller over 30 days. AP Moeller is related to or competes with Neometals, Coor Service, Aeorema Communications, JLEN Environmental, Power Metal, GoldMining, and Eastinco Mining. AP Moeller is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

AP Moeller Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AP Moeller's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AP Moeller upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AP Moeller Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AP Moeller's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AP Moeller's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AP Moeller historical prices to predict the future AP Moeller's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,72511,72811,730
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,5509,55312,900
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11,58511,58811,590
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11,24011,83312,425
Details

AP Moeller Backtested Returns

AP Moeller appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. AP Moeller retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for AP Moeller, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of AP Moeller's Standard Deviation of 2.69, coefficient of variation of 1080.13, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.24) to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AP Moeller holds a performance score of 8. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.95, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning AP Moeller are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, AP Moeller is expected to outperform it slightly. Please check AP Moeller's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether AP Moeller's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

AP Moeller has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AP Moeller time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AP Moeller price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current AP Moeller price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance81.4 K

AP Moeller lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AP Moeller stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AP Moeller's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AP Moeller returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AP Moeller has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AP Moeller regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AP Moeller stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AP Moeller stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AP Moeller stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AP Moeller Lagged Returns

When evaluating AP Moeller's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AP Moeller stock have on its future price. AP Moeller autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AP Moeller autocorrelation shows the relationship between AP Moeller stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AP Moeller .
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for 0O77 Stock Analysis

When running AP Moeller's price analysis, check to measure AP Moeller's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AP Moeller is operating at the current time. Most of AP Moeller's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AP Moeller's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AP Moeller's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AP Moeller to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.