Alior Bank (UK) Market Value

0QBM Stock   90.06  0.23  0.25%   
Alior Bank's market value is the price at which a share of Alior Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alior Bank SA investors about its performance. Alior Bank is selling for under 90.06 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.25% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 90.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alior Bank SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alior Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out Alior Bank Correlation, Alior Bank Volatility and Alior Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alior Bank.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Alior Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alior Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alior Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alior Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alior Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alior Bank.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alior Bank on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alior Bank SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alior Bank over 30 days. Alior Bank is related to or competes with HCA Healthcare, X FAB, Cairn Homes, Air Products, Omega Healthcare, Westlake Chemical, and Eco Animal. Alior Bank is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

Alior Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alior Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alior Bank SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alior Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alior Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alior Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alior Bank historical prices to predict the future Alior Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.1490.0691.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.3370.2599.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.2095.1297.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.1181.3389.56
Details

Alior Bank SA Backtested Returns

Alior Bank appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Alior Bank SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found nineteen technical indicators for Alior Bank SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Alior Bank's Standard Deviation of 1.89, mean deviation of 0.4561, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0891 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Alior Bank holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alior Bank's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alior Bank is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Alior Bank's coefficient of variation, variance, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Alior Bank's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  Huge  

Perfect predictability

Alior Bank SA has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alior Bank time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alior Bank SA price movement. The serial correlation of 9.223372036854776E16 indicates that 9.223372036854776E16% of current Alior Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient92233.7 T
Spearman Rank Test0.92
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance28.21

Alior Bank SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alior Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alior Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alior Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alior Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alior Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alior Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alior Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alior Bank stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alior Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alior Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alior Bank stock have on its future price. Alior Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alior Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alior Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alior Bank SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alior Stock Analysis

When running Alior Bank's price analysis, check to measure Alior Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alior Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Alior Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alior Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alior Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alior Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.