Ares Management (Germany) Market Value

0QN Stock  EUR 164.26  0.76  0.46%   
Ares Management's market value is the price at which a share of Ares Management trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ares Management Corp investors about its performance. Ares Management is trading at 164.26 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 0.46% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 160.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ares Management Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ares Management over a given investment horizon. Check out Ares Management Correlation, Ares Management Volatility and Ares Management Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ares Management.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ares Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ares Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ares Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ares Management 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ares Management's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ares Management.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ares Management on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ares Management Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ares Management over 30 days. Ares Management is related to or competes with Bank of New York Mellon, Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, and Talanx AG. Ares Management Corporation operates as an alternative asset manager in the United States, Europe, and Asia More

Ares Management Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ares Management's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ares Management Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ares Management Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ares Management's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ares Management's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ares Management historical prices to predict the future Ares Management's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
162.07164.26166.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
127.26129.45180.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
162.42164.60166.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
140.80154.26167.71
Details

Ares Management Corp Backtested Returns

Ares Management appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Ares Management Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which signifies that the company had a 0.18% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Ares Management Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Ares Management's risk adjusted performance of 0.1441, and Mean Deviation of 1.47 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ares Management holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ares Management are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ares Management is likely to outperform the market. Please check Ares Management's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Ares Management's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

Ares Management Corp has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ares Management time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ares Management Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Ares Management price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.31

Ares Management Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ares Management stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ares Management's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ares Management returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ares Management has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ares Management regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ares Management stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ares Management stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ares Management stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ares Management Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ares Management's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ares Management stock have on its future price. Ares Management autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ares Management autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ares Management stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ares Management Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Ares Stock

Ares Management financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ares Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ares with respect to the benefits of owning Ares Management security.