Asia Polymer (Taiwan) Market Value

1308 Stock  TWD 17.10  0.15  0.88%   
Asia Polymer's market value is the price at which a share of Asia Polymer trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Asia Polymer Corp investors about its performance. Asia Polymer is selling for under 17.10 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.88% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 16.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Asia Polymer Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Asia Polymer over a given investment horizon. Check out Asia Polymer Correlation, Asia Polymer Volatility and Asia Polymer Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Asia Polymer.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Asia Polymer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asia Polymer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asia Polymer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Asia Polymer 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Asia Polymer's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Asia Polymer.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Asia Polymer on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Asia Polymer Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Asia Polymer over 30 days. Asia Polymer is related to or competes with USI Corp, Taiwan Styrene, UPC Technology, Grand Pacific, and China Petrochemical. Asia Polymer Corporation primarily designs, develops, manufactures, and sells polyethylene resins in Taiwan and internat... More

Asia Polymer Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Asia Polymer's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Asia Polymer Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Asia Polymer Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Asia Polymer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Asia Polymer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Asia Polymer historical prices to predict the future Asia Polymer's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.4917.1019.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9817.5920.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5315.1317.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.9117.0517.19
Details

Asia Polymer Corp Backtested Returns

Asia Polymer Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0246, which signifies that the company had a -0.0246% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Asia Polymer Corp exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Asia Polymer's Standard Deviation of 2.59, risk adjusted performance of 0.0051, and Mean Deviation of 1.7 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.77, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Asia Polymer's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Asia Polymer is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Asia Polymer Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0642%. Please make sure to confirm Asia Polymer's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Asia Polymer Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

Asia Polymer Corp has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Asia Polymer time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Asia Polymer Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Asia Polymer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.83

Asia Polymer Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Asia Polymer stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Asia Polymer's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Asia Polymer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Asia Polymer has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Asia Polymer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Asia Polymer stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Asia Polymer stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Asia Polymer stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Asia Polymer Lagged Returns

When evaluating Asia Polymer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Asia Polymer stock have on its future price. Asia Polymer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Asia Polymer autocorrelation shows the relationship between Asia Polymer stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Asia Polymer Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Asia Stock Analysis

When running Asia Polymer's price analysis, check to measure Asia Polymer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asia Polymer is operating at the current time. Most of Asia Polymer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asia Polymer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asia Polymer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asia Polymer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.