Awea Mechantronic (Taiwan) Market Value

1530 Stock  TWD 30.65  0.75  2.39%   
Awea Mechantronic's market value is the price at which a share of Awea Mechantronic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Awea Mechantronic Co investors about its performance. Awea Mechantronic is selling for under 30.65 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 2.39 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 30.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Awea Mechantronic Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Awea Mechantronic over a given investment horizon. Check out Awea Mechantronic Correlation, Awea Mechantronic Volatility and Awea Mechantronic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Awea Mechantronic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Awea Mechantronic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Awea Mechantronic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Awea Mechantronic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Awea Mechantronic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Awea Mechantronic's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Awea Mechantronic.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Awea Mechantronic on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Awea Mechantronic Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Awea Mechantronic over 30 days. Awea Mechantronic is related to or competes with Anderson Industrial, Kaulin Mfg, Roundtop Machinery, Tong Tai, and Lee Chi. Awea Mechantronic Co., Ltd. researches, designs, manufactures, assembles, tests, monitors, sells, and services various C... More

Awea Mechantronic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Awea Mechantronic's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Awea Mechantronic Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Awea Mechantronic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Awea Mechantronic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Awea Mechantronic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Awea Mechantronic historical prices to predict the future Awea Mechantronic's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.6630.6532.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7231.7133.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.3731.3633.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.3931.2632.13
Details

Awea Mechantronic Backtested Returns

Awea Mechantronic secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which signifies that the company had a -0.1% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Awea Mechantronic Co exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Awea Mechantronic's mean deviation of 1.68, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0068 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Awea Mechantronic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Awea Mechantronic is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Awea Mechantronic has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Awea Mechantronic's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Awea Mechantronic performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Awea Mechantronic Co has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Awea Mechantronic time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Awea Mechantronic price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Awea Mechantronic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Awea Mechantronic lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Awea Mechantronic stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Awea Mechantronic's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Awea Mechantronic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Awea Mechantronic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Awea Mechantronic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Awea Mechantronic stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Awea Mechantronic stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Awea Mechantronic stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Awea Mechantronic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Awea Mechantronic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Awea Mechantronic stock have on its future price. Awea Mechantronic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Awea Mechantronic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Awea Mechantronic stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Awea Mechantronic Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Awea Stock Analysis

When running Awea Mechantronic's price analysis, check to measure Awea Mechantronic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Awea Mechantronic is operating at the current time. Most of Awea Mechantronic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Awea Mechantronic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Awea Mechantronic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Awea Mechantronic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.