CHINA VANKE (Germany) Market Value
18V Stock | EUR 0.74 0.01 1.33% |
Symbol | CHINA |
CHINA VANKE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CHINA VANKE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CHINA VANKE.
10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in CHINA VANKE on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CHINA VANKE TD or generate 0.0% return on investment in CHINA VANKE over 30 days. CHINA VANKE is related to or competes with Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Talanx AG, NorAm Drilling, and Identiv. China Vanke Co., Ltd., a real-estate company, develops and sells properties in the Peoples Republic of China More
CHINA VANKE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CHINA VANKE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CHINA VANKE TD upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 7.84 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.1268 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 78.55 | |||
Value At Risk | (9.93) | |||
Potential Upside | 14.29 |
CHINA VANKE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CHINA VANKE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CHINA VANKE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CHINA VANKE historical prices to predict the future CHINA VANKE's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1162 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 1.47 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.1669 | |||
Treynor Ratio | (3.81) |
CHINA VANKE TD Backtested Returns
CHINA VANKE is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. CHINA VANKE TD secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had a 0.12% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.26% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use CHINA VANKE Semi Deviation of 6.55, risk adjusted performance of 0.1162, and Mean Deviation of 6.26 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. CHINA VANKE holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.38, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CHINA VANKE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CHINA VANKE is likely to outperform the market. Use CHINA VANKE downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to analyze future returns on CHINA VANKE.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
CHINA VANKE TD has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CHINA VANKE time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CHINA VANKE TD price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current CHINA VANKE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.42 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
CHINA VANKE TD lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is CHINA VANKE stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CHINA VANKE's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CHINA VANKE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CHINA VANKE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
CHINA VANKE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CHINA VANKE stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CHINA VANKE stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CHINA VANKE stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
CHINA VANKE Lagged Returns
When evaluating CHINA VANKE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CHINA VANKE stock have on its future price. CHINA VANKE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CHINA VANKE autocorrelation shows the relationship between CHINA VANKE stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CHINA VANKE TD.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in CHINA Stock
CHINA VANKE financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHINA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHINA with respect to the benefits of owning CHINA VANKE security.