Novanta (Germany) Market Value
| 1GSN Stock | EUR 159.00 6.00 3.64% |
| Symbol | Novanta |
Novanta 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Novanta's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Novanta.
| 12/08/2022 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Novanta on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Novanta or generate 0.0% return on investment in Novanta over 720 days. Novanta is related to or competes with Tencent Music, Sekisui Chemical, UNIVMUSIC GRPADR050, PTT Global, Quaker Chemical, Zoom Video, and ScanSource. Novanta Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, markets, and sells photonics, vision, and precision... More
Novanta Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Novanta's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Novanta upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.52) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.58 |
Novanta Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Novanta's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Novanta's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Novanta historical prices to predict the future Novanta's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0206 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0179 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3564 |
Novanta Backtested Returns
Novanta has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0044, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0044% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Novanta exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Novanta's Downside Deviation of 1.99, risk adjusted performance of 0.0206, and Mean Deviation of 1.34 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0757, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Novanta's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Novanta is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Novanta has a negative expected return of -0.009%. Please make sure to verify Novanta's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Novanta performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.19 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Novanta has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Novanta time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Novanta price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Novanta price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 54.27 |
Novanta lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Novanta stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Novanta's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Novanta returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Novanta has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Novanta regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Novanta stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Novanta stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Novanta stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Novanta Lagged Returns
When evaluating Novanta's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Novanta stock have on its future price. Novanta autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Novanta autocorrelation shows the relationship between Novanta stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Novanta.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Novanta Stock
When determining whether Novanta is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Novanta Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Novanta Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Novanta Stock:Check out Novanta Correlation, Novanta Volatility and Novanta Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Novanta. For more detail on how to invest in Novanta Stock please use our How to Invest in Novanta guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Novanta technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.