Northland Power (Germany) Market Value

1NR Stock  EUR 12.11  0.37  2.96%   
Northland Power's market value is the price at which a share of Northland Power trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northland Power investors about its performance. Northland Power is trading at 12.11 as of the 13th of December 2024. This is a 2.96 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northland Power and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northland Power over a given investment horizon. Check out Northland Power Correlation, Northland Power Volatility and Northland Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northland Power.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northland Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northland Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northland Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northland Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northland Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northland Power.
0.00
12/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northland Power on December 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northland Power or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northland Power over 360 days. Northland Power is related to or competes with Dairy Farm, SIEM OFFSHORE, Martin Marietta, Rayonier Advanced, Lerøy Seafood, SBM OFFSHORE, and Yokohama Rubber. Northland Power Inc. develops, builds, owns, and operates clean and green power projects primarily in Canada and Europe More

Northland Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northland Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northland Power upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northland Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northland Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northland Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northland Power historical prices to predict the future Northland Power's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5412.1114.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4513.0215.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0811.6514.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3613.5614.76
Details

Northland Power Backtested Returns

Northland Power has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0888, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0888% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Northland Power exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Northland Power's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 2.62, and Mean Deviation of 2.01 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.9, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Northland Power returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Northland Power is expected to follow. At this point, Northland Power has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to verify Northland Power's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Northland Power performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Northland Power has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northland Power time series from 19th of December 2023 to 16th of June 2024 and 16th of June 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northland Power price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Northland Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.6

Northland Power lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northland Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northland Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northland Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northland Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Northland Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northland Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northland Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northland Power stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Northland Power Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northland Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northland Power stock have on its future price. Northland Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northland Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northland Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northland Power.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Northland Stock

Northland Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northland with respect to the benefits of owning Northland Power security.