Verallia Société (Germany) Market Value

1VRA Stock  EUR 25.12  0.24  0.96%   
Verallia Société's market value is the price at which a share of Verallia Société trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Verallia Socit Anonyme investors about its performance. Verallia Société is trading at 25.12 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 0.96 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 25.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Verallia Socit Anonyme and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Verallia Société over a given investment horizon. Check out Verallia Société Correlation, Verallia Société Volatility and Verallia Société Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Verallia Société.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Verallia Société's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verallia Société is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verallia Société's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Verallia Société 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Verallia Société's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Verallia Société.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Verallia Société on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Verallia Socit Anonyme or generate 0.0% return on investment in Verallia Société over 30 days. Verallia Société is related to or competes with MACOM Technology, ITALIAN WINE, Tri Pointe, SMA Solar, Taylor Morrison, Haverty Furniture, and NAKED WINES. Verallia Socit Anonyme produces and sells glass packaging products for beverages and food industry worldwide More

Verallia Société Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Verallia Société's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Verallia Socit Anonyme upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Verallia Société Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Verallia Société's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Verallia Société's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Verallia Société historical prices to predict the future Verallia Société's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7425.1227.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3725.7528.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.4424.8227.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.7226.4228.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Verallia Société. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Verallia Société's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Verallia Société's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Verallia Socit Anonyme.

Verallia Socit Anonyme Backtested Returns

Verallia Socit Anonyme owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.027, which indicates the firm had a -0.027% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Verallia Socit Anonyme exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Verallia Société's Variance of 5.61, coefficient of variation of (8,299), and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.32, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Verallia Société's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Verallia Société is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Verallia Socit Anonyme has a negative expected return of -0.0642%. Please make sure to validate Verallia Société's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Verallia Socit Anonyme performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.15  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Verallia Socit Anonyme has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Verallia Société time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Verallia Socit Anonyme price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Verallia Société price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.15
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.46

Verallia Socit Anonyme lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Verallia Société stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Verallia Société's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Verallia Société returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Verallia Société has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Verallia Société regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Verallia Société stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Verallia Société stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Verallia Société stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Verallia Société Lagged Returns

When evaluating Verallia Société's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Verallia Société stock have on its future price. Verallia Société autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Verallia Société autocorrelation shows the relationship between Verallia Société stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Verallia Socit Anonyme.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Verallia Stock

Verallia Société financial ratios help investors to determine whether Verallia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Verallia with respect to the benefits of owning Verallia Société security.