Nankang Rubber (Taiwan) Market Value

2101 Stock  TWD 48.35  0.50  1.04%   
Nankang Rubber's market value is the price at which a share of Nankang Rubber trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nankang Rubber Tire investors about its performance. Nankang Rubber is selling for under 48.35 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.04 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 47.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nankang Rubber Tire and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nankang Rubber over a given investment horizon. Check out Nankang Rubber Correlation, Nankang Rubber Volatility and Nankang Rubber Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nankang Rubber.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nankang Rubber's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nankang Rubber is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nankang Rubber's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nankang Rubber 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nankang Rubber's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nankang Rubber.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nankang Rubber on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nankang Rubber Tire or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nankang Rubber over 360 days. Nankang Rubber is related to or competes with De Licacy, Kwong Fong, Leatec Fine, Information Technology, SYN Tech, Zinwell, and Chunghwa Telecom. ,Ltd. produces and sells tires in Taiwan and internationally More

Nankang Rubber Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nankang Rubber's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nankang Rubber Tire upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nankang Rubber Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nankang Rubber's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nankang Rubber's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nankang Rubber historical prices to predict the future Nankang Rubber's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.1948.3550.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.0841.2453.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.4647.6249.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.2147.9349.65
Details

Nankang Rubber Tire Backtested Returns

Nankang Rubber Tire has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0402, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0402% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nankang Rubber exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nankang Rubber's Mean Deviation of 1.6, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 2.16 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.008, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nankang Rubber's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nankang Rubber is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Nankang Rubber Tire has a negative expected return of -0.0876%. Please make sure to verify Nankang Rubber's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Nankang Rubber Tire performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.63  

Very good reverse predictability

Nankang Rubber Tire has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nankang Rubber time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nankang Rubber Tire price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Nankang Rubber price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.63
Spearman Rank Test-0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance13.94

Nankang Rubber Tire lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nankang Rubber stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nankang Rubber's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nankang Rubber returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nankang Rubber has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nankang Rubber regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nankang Rubber stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nankang Rubber stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nankang Rubber stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nankang Rubber Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nankang Rubber's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nankang Rubber stock have on its future price. Nankang Rubber autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nankang Rubber autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nankang Rubber stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nankang Rubber Tire.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Nankang Stock Analysis

When running Nankang Rubber's price analysis, check to measure Nankang Rubber's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nankang Rubber is operating at the current time. Most of Nankang Rubber's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nankang Rubber's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nankang Rubber's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nankang Rubber to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.