Realtek Semiconductor (Taiwan) Market Value
| 2379 Stock | TWD 481.50 6.50 1.33% |
| Symbol | Realtek |
Realtek Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Realtek Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Realtek Semiconductor.
| 10/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Realtek Semiconductor on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Realtek Semiconductor Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Realtek Semiconductor over 30 days. Realtek Semiconductor is related to or competes with Novatek Microelectronics, MediaTek, VIA Technologies, Quanta Computer, and United Microelectronics. Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, develops, and distributes various IC products for communications network, computer ... More
Realtek Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Realtek Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Realtek Semiconductor Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.68 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.37 |
Realtek Semiconductor Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Realtek Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Realtek Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Realtek Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Realtek Semiconductor's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.51) |
Realtek Semiconductor Backtested Returns
Realtek Semiconductor maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0843, which implies the firm had a -0.0843% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Realtek Semiconductor exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Realtek Semiconductor's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), variance of 3.32, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,210) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.31, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Realtek Semiconductor's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Realtek Semiconductor is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Realtek Semiconductor has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to check Realtek Semiconductor's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Realtek Semiconductor performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.4 |
Poor reverse predictability
Realtek Semiconductor Corp has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Realtek Semiconductor time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Realtek Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Realtek Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.1 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 42.01 |
Realtek Semiconductor lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Realtek Semiconductor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Realtek Semiconductor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Realtek Semiconductor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Realtek Semiconductor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Realtek Semiconductor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Realtek Semiconductor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Realtek Semiconductor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Realtek Semiconductor stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Realtek Semiconductor Lagged Returns
When evaluating Realtek Semiconductor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Realtek Semiconductor stock have on its future price. Realtek Semiconductor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Realtek Semiconductor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Realtek Semiconductor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Realtek Semiconductor Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Realtek Stock Analysis
When running Realtek Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Realtek Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Realtek Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Realtek Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Realtek Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Realtek Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Realtek Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.