Mercuries Data (Taiwan) Market Value

2427 Stock  TWD 25.60  0.60  2.29%   
Mercuries Data's market value is the price at which a share of Mercuries Data trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mercuries Data Systems investors about its performance. Mercuries Data is selling for under 25.60 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 2.29 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 25.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mercuries Data Systems and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mercuries Data over a given investment horizon. Check out Mercuries Data Correlation, Mercuries Data Volatility and Mercuries Data Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mercuries Data.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercuries Data's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mercuries Data is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercuries Data's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mercuries Data 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mercuries Data's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mercuries Data.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mercuries Data on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mercuries Data Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mercuries Data over 30 days. Mercuries Data is related to or competes with United Microelectronics, Winbond Electronics, and Macronix International. Mercuries Data Systems Ltd. provides automated banking and self-service solutions More

Mercuries Data Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mercuries Data's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mercuries Data Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mercuries Data Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mercuries Data's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mercuries Data's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mercuries Data historical prices to predict the future Mercuries Data's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9625.6027.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5626.2027.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.4226.0627.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.0326.4027.76
Details

Mercuries Data Systems Backtested Returns

Mercuries Data Systems has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0748, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0748% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mercuries Data exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mercuries Data's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), standard deviation of 1.6, and Mean Deviation of 1.14 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.46, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Mercuries Data's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mercuries Data is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Mercuries Data Systems has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to verify Mercuries Data's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Mercuries Data Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Mercuries Data Systems has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mercuries Data time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mercuries Data Systems price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Mercuries Data price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Mercuries Data Systems lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mercuries Data stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mercuries Data's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mercuries Data returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mercuries Data has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mercuries Data regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mercuries Data stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mercuries Data stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mercuries Data stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mercuries Data Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mercuries Data's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mercuries Data stock have on its future price. Mercuries Data autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mercuries Data autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mercuries Data stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mercuries Data Systems.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Mercuries Stock Analysis

When running Mercuries Data's price analysis, check to measure Mercuries Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercuries Data is operating at the current time. Most of Mercuries Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercuries Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercuries Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercuries Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.