Kedge Construction (Taiwan) Market Value

2546 Stock  TWD 75.40  0.60  0.80%   
Kedge Construction's market value is the price at which a share of Kedge Construction trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kedge Construction Co investors about its performance. Kedge Construction is selling for under 75.40 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.80 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 74.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kedge Construction Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kedge Construction over a given investment horizon. Check out Kedge Construction Correlation, Kedge Construction Volatility and Kedge Construction Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kedge Construction.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kedge Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kedge Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kedge Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kedge Construction 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kedge Construction's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kedge Construction.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kedge Construction on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kedge Construction Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kedge Construction over 30 days. Kedge Construction is related to or competes with Sunny Friend, Taiwan Secom, TTET Union, ECOVE Environment, and Yulon Finance. Kedge Construction Co., Ltd. constructs, develops, leases, and sells residential buildings in Taiwan More

Kedge Construction Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kedge Construction's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kedge Construction Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kedge Construction Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kedge Construction's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kedge Construction's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kedge Construction historical prices to predict the future Kedge Construction's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.2775.4076.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.9372.0682.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.7974.9276.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.7074.7775.83
Details

Kedge Construction Backtested Returns

Kedge Construction has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0612, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0612% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kedge Construction exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kedge Construction's Standard Deviation of 1.16, risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 0.864 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Kedge Construction's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kedge Construction is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Kedge Construction has a negative expected return of -0.0686%. Please make sure to verify Kedge Construction's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Kedge Construction performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.58  

Modest predictability

Kedge Construction Co has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kedge Construction time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kedge Construction price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Kedge Construction price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.58
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.42

Kedge Construction lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kedge Construction stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kedge Construction's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kedge Construction returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kedge Construction has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kedge Construction regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kedge Construction stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kedge Construction stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kedge Construction stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kedge Construction Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kedge Construction's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kedge Construction stock have on its future price. Kedge Construction autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kedge Construction autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kedge Construction stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kedge Construction Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Kedge Stock Analysis

When running Kedge Construction's price analysis, check to measure Kedge Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kedge Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Kedge Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kedge Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kedge Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kedge Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.