Kings Town (Taiwan) Market Value

2809 Stock  TWD 48.40  0.35  0.72%   
Kings Town's market value is the price at which a share of Kings Town trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kings Town Bank investors about its performance. Kings Town is selling for under 48.40 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.72 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 47.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kings Town Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kings Town over a given investment horizon. Check out Kings Town Correlation, Kings Town Volatility and Kings Town Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kings Town.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kings Town's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kings Town is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kings Town's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kings Town 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kings Town's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kings Town.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kings Town on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kings Town Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kings Town over 30 days. Kings Town is related to or competes with Taichung Commercial, Far Eastern, Taiwan Business, Sinopac Financial, and Yuanta Financial. Kings Town Bank Co., Ltd. provides various personal and corporate banking products and services in Taiwan More

Kings Town Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kings Town's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kings Town Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kings Town Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kings Town's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kings Town's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kings Town historical prices to predict the future Kings Town's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.7248.4050.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.5650.3352.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.0647.7449.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.4949.0750.65
Details

Kings Town Bank Backtested Returns

Kings Town Bank has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0863, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0863% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kings Town exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kings Town's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), standard deviation of 1.65, and Mean Deviation of 1.24 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.42, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kings Town's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kings Town is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Kings Town Bank has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to verify Kings Town's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Kings Town Bank performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Kings Town Bank has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kings Town time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kings Town Bank price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Kings Town price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.74

Kings Town Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kings Town stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kings Town's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kings Town returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kings Town has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kings Town regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kings Town stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kings Town stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kings Town stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kings Town Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kings Town's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kings Town stock have on its future price. Kings Town autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kings Town autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kings Town stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kings Town Bank.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Kings Stock Analysis

When running Kings Town's price analysis, check to measure Kings Town's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kings Town is operating at the current time. Most of Kings Town's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kings Town's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kings Town's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kings Town to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.