Shin Kong (Taiwan) Market Value

2888A Stock  TWD 35.50  0.05  0.14%   
Shin Kong's market value is the price at which a share of Shin Kong trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shin Kong Financial investors about its performance. Shin Kong is selling for under 35.50 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.14% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 35.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shin Kong Financial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shin Kong over a given investment horizon. Check out Shin Kong Correlation, Shin Kong Volatility and Shin Kong Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shin Kong.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shin Kong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shin Kong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shin Kong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shin Kong 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shin Kong's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shin Kong.
0.00
12/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shin Kong on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shin Kong Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shin Kong over 720 days. Shin Kong is related to or competes with Avalue Technology, Phytohealth Corp, Vate Technology, Onyx Healthcare, Ma Kuang, Genovate Biotechnology, and Univacco Technology. Shin Kong Financial Holding Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of financial products and services in ... More

Shin Kong Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shin Kong's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shin Kong Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shin Kong Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shin Kong's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shin Kong's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shin Kong historical prices to predict the future Shin Kong's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.0135.5035.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.9536.0036.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.0435.5336.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.3635.5035.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shin Kong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shin Kong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shin Kong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shin Kong Financial.

Shin Kong Financial Backtested Returns

Shin Kong Financial owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.21, which indicates the firm had a -0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Shin Kong Financial exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Shin Kong's Variance of 0.2403, coefficient of variation of (477.85), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0923, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Shin Kong's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shin Kong is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Shin Kong Financial has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate Shin Kong's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Shin Kong Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.81  

Excellent reverse predictability

Shin Kong Financial has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shin Kong time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shin Kong Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Shin Kong price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.81
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance14.53

Shin Kong Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shin Kong stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shin Kong's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shin Kong returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shin Kong has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shin Kong regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shin Kong stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shin Kong stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shin Kong stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shin Kong Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shin Kong's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shin Kong stock have on its future price. Shin Kong autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shin Kong autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shin Kong stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shin Kong Financial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Shin Stock Analysis

When running Shin Kong's price analysis, check to measure Shin Kong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shin Kong is operating at the current time. Most of Shin Kong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shin Kong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shin Kong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shin Kong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.