Changshu Tianyin (China) Market Value

300342 Stock   19.23  0.43  2.29%   
Changshu Tianyin's market value is the price at which a share of Changshu Tianyin trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Changshu Tianyin Electromechan investors about its performance. Changshu Tianyin is trading at 19.23 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 2.29% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 18.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Changshu Tianyin Electromechan and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Changshu Tianyin over a given investment horizon. Check out Changshu Tianyin Correlation, Changshu Tianyin Volatility and Changshu Tianyin Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Changshu Tianyin.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Changshu Tianyin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Changshu Tianyin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Changshu Tianyin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Changshu Tianyin 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Changshu Tianyin's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Changshu Tianyin.
0.00
01/12/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Changshu Tianyin on January 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Changshu Tianyin Electromechan or generate 0.0% return on investment in Changshu Tianyin over 690 days. Changshu Tianyin is related to or competes with Cultural Investment, Gome Telecom, Bus Online, Holitech Technology, and Zotye Automobile. Changshu Tianyin is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Changshu Tianyin Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Changshu Tianyin's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Changshu Tianyin Electromechan upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Changshu Tianyin Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Changshu Tianyin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Changshu Tianyin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Changshu Tianyin historical prices to predict the future Changshu Tianyin's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3019.3524.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4415.4920.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1919.2524.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Changshu Tianyin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Changshu Tianyin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Changshu Tianyin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Changshu Tianyin Ele.

Changshu Tianyin Ele Backtested Returns

Changshu Tianyin appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Changshu Tianyin Ele secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Changshu Tianyin's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.79% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Changshu Tianyin's mean deviation of 3.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1213 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Changshu Tianyin holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0371, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Changshu Tianyin's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Changshu Tianyin is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Changshu Tianyin's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Changshu Tianyin's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Changshu Tianyin Electromechan has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Changshu Tianyin time series from 12th of January 2023 to 23rd of December 2023 and 23rd of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Changshu Tianyin Ele price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Changshu Tianyin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.91

Changshu Tianyin Ele lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Changshu Tianyin stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Changshu Tianyin's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Changshu Tianyin returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Changshu Tianyin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Changshu Tianyin regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Changshu Tianyin stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Changshu Tianyin stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Changshu Tianyin stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Changshu Tianyin Lagged Returns

When evaluating Changshu Tianyin's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Changshu Tianyin stock have on its future price. Changshu Tianyin autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Changshu Tianyin autocorrelation shows the relationship between Changshu Tianyin stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Changshu Tianyin Electromechan.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Changshu Stock

Changshu Tianyin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Changshu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Changshu with respect to the benefits of owning Changshu Tianyin security.