HUANLEJIA Food (China) Market Value

300997 Stock   13.88  0.55  3.81%   
HUANLEJIA Food's market value is the price at which a share of HUANLEJIA Food trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HUANLEJIA Food Group investors about its performance. HUANLEJIA Food is trading at 13.88 as of the 31st of January 2025, a 3.81% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 14.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HUANLEJIA Food Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HUANLEJIA Food over a given investment horizon. Check out HUANLEJIA Food Correlation, HUANLEJIA Food Volatility and HUANLEJIA Food Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HUANLEJIA Food.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HUANLEJIA Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HUANLEJIA Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HUANLEJIA Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HUANLEJIA Food 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HUANLEJIA Food's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HUANLEJIA Food.
0.00
01/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HUANLEJIA Food on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HUANLEJIA Food Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in HUANLEJIA Food over 30 days. HUANLEJIA Food is related to or competes with Industrial, Agricultural Bank, China Construction, Bank of China, Postal Savings, Bank of Communications, and Ping An. HUANLEJIA Food is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

HUANLEJIA Food Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HUANLEJIA Food's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HUANLEJIA Food Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HUANLEJIA Food Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HUANLEJIA Food's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HUANLEJIA Food's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HUANLEJIA Food historical prices to predict the future HUANLEJIA Food's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2213.8319.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.4513.0618.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.3914.0019.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HUANLEJIA Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HUANLEJIA Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HUANLEJIA Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HUANLEJIA Food Group.

HUANLEJIA Food Group Backtested Returns

HUANLEJIA Food appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. HUANLEJIA Food Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0491, which attests that the entity had a 0.0491 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for HUANLEJIA Food, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize HUANLEJIA Food's Semi Deviation of 4.32, coefficient of variation of 1707.37, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.61 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, HUANLEJIA Food holds a performance score of 3. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HUANLEJIA Food's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HUANLEJIA Food is expected to be smaller as well. Please check HUANLEJIA Food's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether HUANLEJIA Food's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

HUANLEJIA Food Group has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HUANLEJIA Food time series from 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025 and 16th of January 2025 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HUANLEJIA Food Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current HUANLEJIA Food price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21

HUANLEJIA Food Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HUANLEJIA Food stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HUANLEJIA Food's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HUANLEJIA Food returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HUANLEJIA Food has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HUANLEJIA Food regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HUANLEJIA Food stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HUANLEJIA Food stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HUANLEJIA Food stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HUANLEJIA Food Lagged Returns

When evaluating HUANLEJIA Food's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HUANLEJIA Food stock have on its future price. HUANLEJIA Food autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HUANLEJIA Food autocorrelation shows the relationship between HUANLEJIA Food stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HUANLEJIA Food Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in HUANLEJIA Stock

HUANLEJIA Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether HUANLEJIA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HUANLEJIA with respect to the benefits of owning HUANLEJIA Food security.