Yili Chuanning (China) Market Value

301301 Stock   12.12  0.34  2.89%   
Yili Chuanning's market value is the price at which a share of Yili Chuanning trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Yili Chuanning Biotechnology investors about its performance. Yili Chuanning is trading at 12.12 as of the 20th of January 2025, a 2.89% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 11.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Yili Chuanning Biotechnology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Yili Chuanning over a given investment horizon. Check out Yili Chuanning Correlation, Yili Chuanning Volatility and Yili Chuanning Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Yili Chuanning.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Yili Chuanning's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yili Chuanning is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yili Chuanning's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Yili Chuanning 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Yili Chuanning's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Yili Chuanning.
0.00
12/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Yili Chuanning on December 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Yili Chuanning Biotechnology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Yili Chuanning over 30 days. Yili Chuanning is related to or competes with Zhuhai Comleader, Xinjiang Sailing, Shenzhen, Hangzhou Gisway, East Money, ButOne Information, and Marssenger Kitchenware. More

Yili Chuanning Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Yili Chuanning's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Yili Chuanning Biotechnology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Yili Chuanning Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Yili Chuanning's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Yili Chuanning's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Yili Chuanning historical prices to predict the future Yili Chuanning's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9512.1214.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5410.7112.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5812.7514.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9912.3913.80
Details

Yili Chuanning Biote Backtested Returns

Yili Chuanning Biote shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0836, which attests that the company had a -0.0836 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Yili Chuanning Biote exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Yili Chuanning's Mean Deviation of 1.68, market risk adjusted performance of (1.27), and Standard Deviation of 2.17 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Yili Chuanning's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Yili Chuanning is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Yili Chuanning Biote has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to check out Yili Chuanning's coefficient of variation, information ratio, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and jensen alpha , to decide if Yili Chuanning Biote performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

Yili Chuanning Biotechnology has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Yili Chuanning time series from 21st of December 2024 to 5th of January 2025 and 5th of January 2025 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Yili Chuanning Biote price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Yili Chuanning price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Yili Chuanning Biote lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Yili Chuanning stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Yili Chuanning's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Yili Chuanning returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Yili Chuanning has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Yili Chuanning regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Yili Chuanning stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Yili Chuanning stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Yili Chuanning stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Yili Chuanning Lagged Returns

When evaluating Yili Chuanning's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Yili Chuanning stock have on its future price. Yili Chuanning autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Yili Chuanning autocorrelation shows the relationship between Yili Chuanning stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Yili Chuanning Biotechnology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Yili Stock

Yili Chuanning financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yili Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yili with respect to the benefits of owning Yili Chuanning security.