Hwabao WP (China) Market Value

512810 Etf   1.23  0.02  1.65%   
Hwabao WP's market value is the price at which a share of Hwabao WP trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hwabao WP CS investors about its performance. Hwabao WP is trading at 1.23 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 1.65 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 1.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hwabao WP CS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hwabao WP over a given investment horizon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
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Hwabao WP 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hwabao WP's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hwabao WP.
0.00
02/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hwabao WP on February 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hwabao WP CS or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hwabao WP over 660 days.

Hwabao WP Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hwabao WP's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hwabao WP CS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hwabao WP Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hwabao WP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hwabao WP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hwabao WP historical prices to predict the future Hwabao WP's volatility.

Hwabao WP CS Backtested Returns

Hwabao WP appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Hwabao WP CS holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By evaluating Hwabao WP's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.51% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Hwabao WP's market risk adjusted performance of (6.17), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1136 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0665, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hwabao WP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hwabao WP is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.54  

Good reverse predictability

Hwabao WP CS has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hwabao WP time series from 9th of February 2023 to 5th of January 2024 and 5th of January 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hwabao WP CS price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Hwabao WP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Hwabao WP CS lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hwabao WP etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hwabao WP's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hwabao WP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hwabao WP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hwabao WP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hwabao WP etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hwabao WP etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hwabao WP etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hwabao WP Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hwabao WP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hwabao WP etf have on its future price. Hwabao WP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hwabao WP autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hwabao WP etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hwabao WP CS.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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