K Way (Taiwan) Market Value

5201 Stock  TWD 27.15  0.10  0.37%   
K Way's market value is the price at which a share of K Way trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of K Way Information investors about its performance. K Way is selling for under 27.15 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.37% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 26.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of K Way Information and determine expected loss or profit from investing in K Way over a given investment horizon. Check out K Way Correlation, K Way Volatility and K Way Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on K Way.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between K Way's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if K Way is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, K Way's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

K Way 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to K Way's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of K Way.
0.00
08/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in K Way on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding K Way Information or generate 0.0% return on investment in K Way over 90 days. K Way is related to or competes with Emerging Display, ADLINK Technology, Louisa Professional, Arbor Technology, and Microtips Technology. More

K Way Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure K Way's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess K Way Information upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

K Way Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for K Way's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as K Way's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use K Way historical prices to predict the future K Way's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.9227.1528.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4431.1032.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.6326.8628.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.6627.2927.92
Details

K Way Information Backtested Returns

K Way Information has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0613, which conveys that the company had a -0.0613% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. K Way exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify K Way's standard deviation of 1.22, and Mean Deviation of 0.7046 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0343, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning K Way are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, K Way is likely to outperform the market. At this point, K Way Information has a negative expected return of -0.0762%. Please make sure to verify K Way's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if K Way Information performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

K Way Information has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between K Way time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of K Way Information price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current K Way price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

K Way Information lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is K Way stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting K Way's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of K Way returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that K Way has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

K Way regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If K Way stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if K Way stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in K Way stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

K Way Lagged Returns

When evaluating K Way's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of K Way stock have on its future price. K Way autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, K Way autocorrelation shows the relationship between K Way stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in K Way Information.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with K Way

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if K Way position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in K Way will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against 5201 Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to K Way could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace K Way when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back K Way - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling K Way Information to buy it.
The correlation of K Way is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as K Way moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if K Way Information moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for K Way can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for 5201 Stock Analysis

When running K Way's price analysis, check to measure K Way's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy K Way is operating at the current time. Most of K Way's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of K Way's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move K Way's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of K Way to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.