EVS Broadcast (Germany) Market Value

5E1 Stock   29.25  0.75  2.63%   
EVS Broadcast's market value is the price at which a share of EVS Broadcast trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of EVS Broadcast Equipment investors about its performance. EVS Broadcast is selling for under 29.25 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 2.63% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 28.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of EVS Broadcast Equipment and determine expected loss or profit from investing in EVS Broadcast over a given investment horizon. Check out EVS Broadcast Correlation, EVS Broadcast Volatility and EVS Broadcast Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on EVS Broadcast.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between EVS Broadcast's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EVS Broadcast is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EVS Broadcast's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

EVS Broadcast 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EVS Broadcast's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EVS Broadcast.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in EVS Broadcast on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding EVS Broadcast Equipment or generate 0.0% return on investment in EVS Broadcast over 510 days. EVS Broadcast is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Microsoft, and Microsoft. More

EVS Broadcast Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EVS Broadcast's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess EVS Broadcast Equipment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

EVS Broadcast Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EVS Broadcast's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EVS Broadcast's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EVS Broadcast historical prices to predict the future EVS Broadcast's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EVS Broadcast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.1929.2530.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5428.6029.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.0530.1031.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.3227.7029.07
Details

EVS Broadcast Equipment Backtested Returns

EVS Broadcast Equipment secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0059, which denotes the company had a -0.0059% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. EVS Broadcast Equipment exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm EVS Broadcast's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), mean deviation of 0.7773, and Standard Deviation of 1.05 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, EVS Broadcast's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding EVS Broadcast is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, EVS Broadcast Equipment has a negative expected return of -0.0062%. Please make sure to confirm EVS Broadcast's treynor ratio, skewness, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and accumulation distribution , to decide if EVS Broadcast Equipment performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.82  

Excellent reverse predictability

EVS Broadcast Equipment has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EVS Broadcast time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of EVS Broadcast Equipment price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current EVS Broadcast price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.82
Spearman Rank Test-0.78
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.31

EVS Broadcast Equipment lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is EVS Broadcast stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting EVS Broadcast's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of EVS Broadcast returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that EVS Broadcast has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

EVS Broadcast regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If EVS Broadcast stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if EVS Broadcast stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in EVS Broadcast stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

EVS Broadcast Lagged Returns

When evaluating EVS Broadcast's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of EVS Broadcast stock have on its future price. EVS Broadcast autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, EVS Broadcast autocorrelation shows the relationship between EVS Broadcast stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in EVS Broadcast Equipment.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for EVS Stock Analysis

When running EVS Broadcast's price analysis, check to measure EVS Broadcast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EVS Broadcast is operating at the current time. Most of EVS Broadcast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EVS Broadcast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EVS Broadcast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EVS Broadcast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.