Chongqing Road (China) Market Value

600106 Stock   6.72  0.47  6.54%   
Chongqing Road's market value is the price at which a share of Chongqing Road trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chongqing Road Bridge investors about its performance. Chongqing Road is trading at 6.72 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 6.54 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 7.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chongqing Road Bridge and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chongqing Road over a given investment horizon. Check out Chongqing Road Correlation, Chongqing Road Volatility and Chongqing Road Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chongqing Road.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chongqing Road's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chongqing Road is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chongqing Road's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chongqing Road 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chongqing Road's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chongqing Road.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chongqing Road on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chongqing Road Bridge or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chongqing Road over 30 days. Chongqing Road is related to or competes with Guangdong Brandmax, GRINM Semiconductor, Shandong Ruifeng, StarPower Semiconductor, North Huajin, and Yangmei Chemical. Chongqing Road is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Chongqing Road Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chongqing Road's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chongqing Road Bridge upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chongqing Road Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chongqing Road's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chongqing Road's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chongqing Road historical prices to predict the future Chongqing Road's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.196.7211.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.556.0810.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.416.9411.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

Chongqing Road Bridge Backtested Returns

Chongqing Road is moderately volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Chongqing Road Bridge secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.26, which signifies that the company had a 0.26% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.18% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Chongqing Road Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1828, mean deviation of 3.5, and Downside Deviation of 4.02 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Chongqing Road holds a performance score of 20 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0567, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Chongqing Road's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chongqing Road is expected to be smaller as well. Use Chongqing Road standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to analyze future returns on Chongqing Road.

Auto-correlation

    
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Insignificant predictability

Chongqing Road Bridge has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chongqing Road time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chongqing Road Bridge price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Chongqing Road price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Chongqing Road Bridge lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chongqing Road stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chongqing Road's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chongqing Road returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chongqing Road has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Road regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chongqing Road stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chongqing Road stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chongqing Road stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Road Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chongqing Road's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chongqing Road stock have on its future price. Chongqing Road autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chongqing Road autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chongqing Road stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chongqing Road Bridge.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Chongqing Stock

Chongqing Road financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chongqing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chongqing with respect to the benefits of owning Chongqing Road security.