Shanghai Material (China) Market Value

600822 Stock   12.33  0.18  1.48%   
Shanghai Material's market value is the price at which a share of Shanghai Material trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shanghai Material Trading investors about its performance. Shanghai Material is trading at 12.33 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 1.48% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shanghai Material Trading and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shanghai Material over a given investment horizon. Check out Shanghai Material Correlation, Shanghai Material Volatility and Shanghai Material Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shanghai Material.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shanghai Material's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shanghai Material is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shanghai Material's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shanghai Material 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shanghai Material's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shanghai Material.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shanghai Material on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shanghai Material Trading or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shanghai Material over 90 days. Shanghai Material is related to or competes with Ming Yang, Loctek Ergonomic, Hunan Nanling, Shandong Ruifeng, Jiangsu Seagull, Inner Mongolia, and 3onedata. Shanghai Material is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Shanghai Material Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shanghai Material's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shanghai Material Trading upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shanghai Material Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shanghai Material's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shanghai Material's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shanghai Material historical prices to predict the future Shanghai Material's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9413.8217.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.979.8513.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.7311.6115.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6412.2512.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanghai Material. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanghai Material's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanghai Material's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanghai Material Trading.

Shanghai Material Trading Backtested Returns

Shanghai Material appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Shanghai Material Trading owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.25, which indicates the firm had a 0.25% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Shanghai Material's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.97% is justified by implied risk. Please review Shanghai Material's Coefficient Of Variation of 465.77, semi deviation of 3.49, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1721 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Shanghai Material holds a performance score of 19. The entity has a beta of -0.78, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Shanghai Material are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Shanghai Material is likely to outperform the market. Please check Shanghai Material's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Shanghai Material's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

Shanghai Material Trading has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shanghai Material time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shanghai Material Trading price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Shanghai Material price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.86
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.85

Shanghai Material Trading lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shanghai Material stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shanghai Material's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shanghai Material returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shanghai Material has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shanghai Material regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shanghai Material stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shanghai Material stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shanghai Material stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shanghai Material Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shanghai Material's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shanghai Material stock have on its future price. Shanghai Material autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shanghai Material autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shanghai Material stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shanghai Material Trading.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Material financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Material security.