Bank of China (China) Market Value

601988 Stock   4.96  0.02  0.40%   
Bank of China's market value is the price at which a share of Bank of China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bank of China investors about its performance. Bank of China is trading at 4.96 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.4 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bank of China and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bank of China over a given investment horizon. Check out Bank of China Correlation, Bank of China Volatility and Bank of China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank of China.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bank of China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank of China's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank of China.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bank of China on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank of China or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank of China over 30 days. Bank of China is related to or competes with Haima Automobile, Eastern Communications, Sinomach Automobile, Nanjing Putian, Sunwave Communications, China Sports, and Guangzhou Haige. Bank of China is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Bank of China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank of China's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank of China upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bank of China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank of China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank of China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank of China historical prices to predict the future Bank of China's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.234.966.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.404.135.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.505.236.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of China. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of China's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of China's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of China.

Bank of China Backtested Returns

Bank of China secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0158, which signifies that the company had a -0.0158% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bank of China exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bank of China's Mean Deviation of 1.23, risk adjusted performance of 0.0549, and Downside Deviation of 1.7 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0736, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bank of China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bank of China is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Bank of China has a negative expected return of -0.0273%. Please make sure to confirm Bank of China's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Bank of China performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

Bank of China has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank of China time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank of China price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Bank of China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Bank of China lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bank of China stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank of China's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank of China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank of China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bank of China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank of China stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank of China stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank of China stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bank of China Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bank of China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank of China stock have on its future price. Bank of China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank of China autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank of China stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank of China.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock

Bank of China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of China security.