Good Finance (Taiwan) Market Value

6021 Stock  TWD 23.85  0.25  1.04%   
Good Finance's market value is the price at which a share of Good Finance trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Good Finance Securities investors about its performance. Good Finance is selling for under 23.85 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 1.04 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 23.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Good Finance Securities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Good Finance over a given investment horizon. Check out Good Finance Correlation, Good Finance Volatility and Good Finance Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Good Finance.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Good Finance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Good Finance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Good Finance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Good Finance 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Good Finance's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Good Finance.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Good Finance on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Good Finance Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Good Finance over 30 days. Good Finance is related to or competes with IBF Financial, Capital Securities, President Securities, China Bills, Yuanta Futures, Capital Futures, and Concord Securities. Ta Ching Securities Co., Ltd. provides investment and financial services in Taiwan More

Good Finance Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Good Finance's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Good Finance Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Good Finance Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Good Finance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Good Finance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Good Finance historical prices to predict the future Good Finance's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8523.8525.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2320.2326.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.3524.3526.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.7124.3825.05
Details

Good Finance Securities Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Good Stock to be very steady. Good Finance Securities holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0583, which attests that the entity had a 0.0583% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Good Finance Securities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Good Finance's Downside Deviation of 1.45, risk adjusted performance of 0.0508, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.89) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Good Finance has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Good Finance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Good Finance is likely to outperform the market. Good Finance Securities right now retains a risk of 2.0%. Please check out Good Finance information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Good Finance will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Good Finance Securities has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Good Finance time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Good Finance Securities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Good Finance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Good Finance Securities lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Good Finance stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Good Finance's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Good Finance returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Good Finance has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Good Finance regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Good Finance stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Good Finance stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Good Finance stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Good Finance Lagged Returns

When evaluating Good Finance's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Good Finance stock have on its future price. Good Finance autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Good Finance autocorrelation shows the relationship between Good Finance stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Good Finance Securities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Good Finance

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Good Finance position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Good Finance will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Good Stock

  0.452888 Shin Kong FinancialPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Good Finance could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Good Finance when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Good Finance - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Good Finance Securities to buy it.
The correlation of Good Finance is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Good Finance moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Good Finance Securities moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Good Finance can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Good Stock Analysis

When running Good Finance's price analysis, check to measure Good Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Good Finance is operating at the current time. Most of Good Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Good Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Good Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Good Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.