Nanjing OLO (China) Market Value

603326 Stock   6.62  0.28  4.42%   
Nanjing OLO's market value is the price at which a share of Nanjing OLO trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nanjing OLO Home investors about its performance. Nanjing OLO is trading at 6.62 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 4.42 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nanjing OLO Home and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nanjing OLO over a given investment horizon. Check out Nanjing OLO Correlation, Nanjing OLO Volatility and Nanjing OLO Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nanjing OLO.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nanjing OLO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nanjing OLO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nanjing OLO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nanjing OLO 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nanjing OLO's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nanjing OLO.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nanjing OLO on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nanjing OLO Home or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nanjing OLO over 30 days. Nanjing OLO is related to or competes with China Petroleum, PetroChina, China State, China Railway, China Railway, China Mobile, and Industrial. Nanjing OLO is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Nanjing OLO Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nanjing OLO's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nanjing OLO Home upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nanjing OLO Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nanjing OLO's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nanjing OLO's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nanjing OLO historical prices to predict the future Nanjing OLO's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.846.819.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.405.378.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.616.589.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.106.386.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nanjing OLO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nanjing OLO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nanjing OLO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nanjing OLO Home.

Nanjing OLO Home Backtested Returns

Nanjing OLO appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Nanjing OLO Home has Sharpe Ratio of 0.18, which conveys that the firm had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Nanjing OLO's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.54% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Nanjing OLO's Mean Deviation of 1.92, risk adjusted performance of 0.0808, and Downside Deviation of 2.8 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Nanjing OLO holds a performance score of 13. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nanjing OLO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nanjing OLO is likely to outperform the market. Please check Nanjing OLO's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Nanjing OLO's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Nanjing OLO Home has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nanjing OLO time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nanjing OLO Home price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Nanjing OLO price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Nanjing OLO Home lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nanjing OLO stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nanjing OLO's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nanjing OLO returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nanjing OLO has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nanjing OLO regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nanjing OLO stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nanjing OLO stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nanjing OLO stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nanjing OLO Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nanjing OLO's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nanjing OLO stock have on its future price. Nanjing OLO autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nanjing OLO autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nanjing OLO stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nanjing OLO Home.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Nanjing Stock

Nanjing OLO financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanjing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanjing with respect to the benefits of owning Nanjing OLO security.