ELEMENT FLEET (Germany) Market Value

61F Stock  EUR 19.50  0.50  2.50%   
ELEMENT FLEET's market value is the price at which a share of ELEMENT FLEET trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ELEMENT FLEET MGMT investors about its performance. ELEMENT FLEET is trading at 19.50 as of the 1st of December 2024. This is a 2.5% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 19.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ELEMENT FLEET MGMT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ELEMENT FLEET over a given investment horizon. Check out ELEMENT FLEET Correlation, ELEMENT FLEET Volatility and ELEMENT FLEET Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ELEMENT FLEET.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ELEMENT FLEET's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ELEMENT FLEET is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ELEMENT FLEET's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ELEMENT FLEET 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ELEMENT FLEET's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ELEMENT FLEET.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ELEMENT FLEET on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ELEMENT FLEET MGMT or generate 0.0% return on investment in ELEMENT FLEET over 30 days. ELEMENT FLEET is related to or competes with Microbot Medical, FUYO GENERAL, Carsales, Merit Medical, Lamar Advertising, CODERE ONLINE, and IMPERIAL TOBACCO. Element Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, a... More

ELEMENT FLEET Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ELEMENT FLEET's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ELEMENT FLEET MGMT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ELEMENT FLEET Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ELEMENT FLEET's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ELEMENT FLEET's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ELEMENT FLEET historical prices to predict the future ELEMENT FLEET's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5119.5021.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2319.2221.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.9619.9521.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.2419.7020.16
Details

ELEMENT FLEET MGMT Backtested Returns

At this point, ELEMENT FLEET is very steady. ELEMENT FLEET MGMT secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0674, which denotes the company had a 0.0674% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for ELEMENT FLEET MGMT, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm ELEMENT FLEET's downside deviation of 2.17, and Mean Deviation of 1.32 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. ELEMENT FLEET has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.56, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ELEMENT FLEET's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ELEMENT FLEET is expected to be smaller as well. ELEMENT FLEET MGMT at this time shows a risk of 1.99%. Please confirm ELEMENT FLEET MGMT semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if ELEMENT FLEET MGMT will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.48  

Average predictability

ELEMENT FLEET MGMT has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ELEMENT FLEET time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ELEMENT FLEET MGMT price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current ELEMENT FLEET price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.48
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.35

ELEMENT FLEET MGMT lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ELEMENT FLEET stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ELEMENT FLEET's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ELEMENT FLEET returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ELEMENT FLEET has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ELEMENT FLEET regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ELEMENT FLEET stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ELEMENT FLEET stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ELEMENT FLEET stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ELEMENT FLEET Lagged Returns

When evaluating ELEMENT FLEET's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ELEMENT FLEET stock have on its future price. ELEMENT FLEET autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ELEMENT FLEET autocorrelation shows the relationship between ELEMENT FLEET stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ELEMENT FLEET MGMT.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ELEMENT Stock

ELEMENT FLEET financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELEMENT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELEMENT with respect to the benefits of owning ELEMENT FLEET security.