Territorial Bancorp (Germany) Market Value
| 9TB Stock | EUR 10.00 0.05 0.50% |
| Symbol | Territorial |
Territorial Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Territorial Bancorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Territorial Bancorp.
| 11/05/2024 |
| 12/05/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Territorial Bancorp on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Territorial Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Territorial Bancorp over 30 days. Territorial Bancorp is related to or competes with TreeHouse Foods, QURATE RETAIL, SPARTAN STORES, Performance Food, CAL-MAINE FOODS, Retail Estates, and Fast Retailing. Territorial Bancorp Inc. operates as the holding company for Territorial Savings Bank that provides various financial se... More
Territorial Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Territorial Bancorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Territorial Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0565 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.92 |
Territorial Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Territorial Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Territorial Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Territorial Bancorp historical prices to predict the future Territorial Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0883 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0045 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0569 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1387 |
Territorial Bancorp Backtested Returns
Territorial Bancorp appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Territorial Bancorp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Territorial Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Territorial Bancorp's Semi Deviation of 2.18, coefficient of variation of 912.6, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0883 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Territorial Bancorp holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of 2.11, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Territorial Bancorp will likely underperform. Please check Territorial Bancorp's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Territorial Bancorp's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
Territorial Bancorp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Territorial Bancorp time series from 5th of November 2024 to 20th of November 2024 and 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Territorial Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Territorial Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.29 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Territorial Bancorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Territorial Bancorp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Territorial Bancorp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Territorial Bancorp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Territorial Bancorp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Territorial Bancorp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Territorial Bancorp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Territorial Bancorp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Territorial Bancorp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Territorial Bancorp Lagged Returns
When evaluating Territorial Bancorp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Territorial Bancorp stock have on its future price. Territorial Bancorp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Territorial Bancorp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Territorial Bancorp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Territorial Bancorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| IBTA | Ibotta, | |
| DTST | Data Storage Corp | |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty | |
| IBTA | Ibotta, | |
| GTES | Gates Industrial |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Territorial Stock
When determining whether Territorial Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Territorial Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Territorial Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Territorial Bancorp Stock:Check out Territorial Bancorp Correlation, Territorial Bancorp Volatility and Territorial Bancorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Territorial Bancorp. For more detail on how to invest in Territorial Stock please use our How to Invest in Territorial Bancorp guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Territorial Bancorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.