Anthem (Germany) Market Value

A58 Stock  EUR 382.60  7.90  2.11%   
Anthem's market value is the price at which a share of Anthem trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Anthem Inc investors about its performance. Anthem is trading at 382.60 as of the 26th of January 2025. This is a 2.11 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 382.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Anthem Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Anthem over a given investment horizon. Check out Anthem Correlation, Anthem Volatility and Anthem Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Anthem.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Anthem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anthem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anthem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Anthem 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Anthem's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Anthem.
0.00
12/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Anthem on December 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Anthem Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Anthem over 30 days. Anthem is related to or competes with Apollo Medical, CompuGroup Medical, HANOVER INSURANCE, Zurich Insurance, VIENNA INSURANCE, and Vienna Insurance. Anthem, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a health benefits company in the United States More

Anthem Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Anthem's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Anthem Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Anthem Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Anthem's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Anthem's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Anthem historical prices to predict the future Anthem's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
381.13382.60384.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
362.00363.47420.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
371.80373.28374.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
363.33374.53385.73
Details

Anthem Inc Backtested Returns

Anthem Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0202, which signifies that the company had a -0.0202 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Anthem Inc exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Anthem's Mean Deviation of 1.11, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Standard Deviation of 1.45 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Anthem's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Anthem is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Anthem Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0298%. Please make sure to confirm Anthem's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Anthem Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

Anthem Inc has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Anthem time series from 27th of December 2024 to 11th of January 2025 and 11th of January 2025 to 26th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Anthem Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Anthem price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance24.36

Anthem Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Anthem stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Anthem's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Anthem returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Anthem has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Anthem regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Anthem stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Anthem stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Anthem stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Anthem Lagged Returns

When evaluating Anthem's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Anthem stock have on its future price. Anthem autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Anthem autocorrelation shows the relationship between Anthem stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Anthem Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Anthem Stock

Anthem financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anthem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anthem with respect to the benefits of owning Anthem security.