Deutsche Real Assets Fund Market Value

AAAPX Fund  USD 12.52  0.03  0.24%   
Deutsche Real's market value is the price at which a share of Deutsche Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deutsche Real Assets investors about its performance. Deutsche Real is trading at 12.52 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.24 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.49.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deutsche Real Assets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deutsche Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Deutsche Real Correlation, Deutsche Real Volatility and Deutsche Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deutsche Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deutsche Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche Real's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche Real.
0.00
11/06/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deutsche Real on November 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Real Assets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche Real over 390 days. Deutsche Real is related to or competes with Oklahoma Municipal, Ishares Municipal, Morningstar Municipal, California High-yield, Gamco Global, Nuveen Arizona, and Blrc Sgy. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, i... More

Deutsche Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche Real's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Real Assets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deutsche Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche Real historical prices to predict the future Deutsche Real's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0312.5213.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9812.4712.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1912.6813.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.2412.4212.59
Details

Deutsche Real Assets Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Deutsche Mutual Fund to be very steady. Deutsche Real Assets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which denotes the fund had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Deutsche Real Assets, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Deutsche Real's Coefficient Of Variation of 1073.18, mean deviation of 0.3933, and Downside Deviation of 0.5272 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0506%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

Deutsche Real Assets has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche Real time series from 6th of November 2023 to 19th of May 2024 and 19th of May 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Real Assets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Deutsche Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Deutsche Real Assets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche Real mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche Real's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche Real mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche Real mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche Real mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deutsche Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche Real mutual fund have on its future price. Deutsche Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche Real mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Real Assets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Real security.
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