Invesco Growth Allocation Fund Market Value

AADRX Fund  USD 16.09  0.08  0.50%   
Invesco Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Growth Allocation investors about its performance. Invesco Growth is trading at 16.09 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.50% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Growth Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Growth Correlation, Invesco Growth Volatility and Invesco Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Growth.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Growth on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Growth Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Growth over 30 days. Invesco Growth is related to or competes with T Rowe, Bbh Intermediate, Federated Ohio, Ab Impact, Transamerica Intermediate, and Versatile Bond. The fund is a fund of funds, and invests its assets in other underlying mutual funds advised by the adviser and ETFs and... More

Invesco Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Growth Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Growth historical prices to predict the future Invesco Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5216.0916.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3815.9516.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.4616.0316.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.5915.8816.17
Details

Invesco Growth Allocation Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Growth Allocation holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.15, which attests that the entity had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Invesco Growth Allocation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Growth's Downside Deviation of 0.6305, risk adjusted performance of 0.0873, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1017 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0864%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.66, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Invesco Growth Allocation has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Growth time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Growth Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Invesco Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Invesco Growth Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Growth Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Growth security.
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