Alger Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

AAEMX Fund  USD 10.90  0.01  0.09%   
Alger Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Alger Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alger Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Alger Emerging is trading at 10.90 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.09% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alger Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alger Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Alger Emerging Correlation, Alger Emerging Volatility and Alger Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alger Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alger Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alger Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alger Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alger Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alger Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alger Emerging.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alger Emerging on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alger Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alger Emerging over 720 days. Alger Emerging is related to or competes with Alger Midcap, Alger Midcap, Alger Mid, Alger Small, Alger Small, Alger Small, and Alger Small. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securitie... More

Alger Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alger Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alger Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alger Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alger Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alger Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alger Emerging historical prices to predict the future Alger Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0210.9011.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1110.9911.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7610.6411.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8910.9010.91
Details

Alger Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Alger Emerging Markets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0132, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0132% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alger Emerging Markets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alger Emerging's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 0.6604 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.51, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alger Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alger Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Alger Emerging Markets has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alger Emerging time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alger Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Alger Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.24

Alger Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alger Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alger Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alger Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alger Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alger Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alger Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alger Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alger Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alger Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alger Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alger Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Alger Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alger Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alger Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alger Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger Emerging security.
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