Softlogic Life (Sri Lanka) Market Value

AAICN0000   59.50  0.30  0.50%   
Softlogic Life's market value is the price at which a share of Softlogic Life trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Softlogic Life Insurance investors about its performance. Softlogic Life is trading at 59.50 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 0.5 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 59.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Softlogic Life Insurance and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Softlogic Life over a given investment horizon. Check out Softlogic Life Correlation, Softlogic Life Volatility and Softlogic Life Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Softlogic Life.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Softlogic Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Softlogic Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Softlogic Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Softlogic Life 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Softlogic Life's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Softlogic Life.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Softlogic Life on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Softlogic Life Insurance or generate 0.0% return on investment in Softlogic Life over 720 days. More

Softlogic Life Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Softlogic Life's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Softlogic Life Insurance upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Softlogic Life Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Softlogic Life's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Softlogic Life's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Softlogic Life historical prices to predict the future Softlogic Life's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.7859.5061.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.9952.7165.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.9256.6458.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.6761.0263.36
Details

Softlogic Life Insurance Backtested Returns

At this point, Softlogic Life is very steady. Softlogic Life Insurance owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 1.0E-4, which indicates the firm had a 1.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Softlogic Life Insurance, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Softlogic Life's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), coefficient of variation of (1,192), and Variance of 2.9 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 2.0E-4%. The entity has a beta of 0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Softlogic Life's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Softlogic Life is expected to be smaller as well. Softlogic Life Insurance right now has a risk of 1.72%. Please validate Softlogic Life jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Softlogic Life will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.37  

Poor reverse predictability

Softlogic Life Insurance has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Softlogic Life time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Softlogic Life Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Softlogic Life price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.37
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance20.33

Softlogic Life Insurance lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Softlogic Life stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Softlogic Life's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Softlogic Life returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Softlogic Life has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Softlogic Life regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Softlogic Life stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Softlogic Life stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Softlogic Life stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Softlogic Life Lagged Returns

When evaluating Softlogic Life's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Softlogic Life stock have on its future price. Softlogic Life autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Softlogic Life autocorrelation shows the relationship between Softlogic Life stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Softlogic Life Insurance.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Softlogic Stock

Softlogic Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Softlogic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Softlogic with respect to the benefits of owning Softlogic Life security.