Aberdeen Tax Free Income Fund Market Value

ABEIX Fund  USD 8.31  0.72  0.11%   
Aberdeen Tax-free's market value is the price at which a share of Aberdeen Tax-free trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aberdeen Tax Free Income investors about its performance.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aberdeen Tax Free Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aberdeen Tax-free over a given investment horizon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberdeen Tax-free's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberdeen Tax-free is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aberdeen Tax-free's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aberdeen Tax-free 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aberdeen Tax-free's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aberdeen Tax-free.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aberdeen Tax-free on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aberdeen Tax Free Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aberdeen Tax-free over 30 days. Aberdeen Tax-free is related to or competes with Siit Large, Federated Mdt, Touchstone Large, Qs Us, Aqr Large, Rational Strategic, and Enhanced. The investment seeks a high level of current income that is exempt from federal income taxes More

Aberdeen Tax-free Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aberdeen Tax-free's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aberdeen Tax Free Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aberdeen Tax-free Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aberdeen Tax-free's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aberdeen Tax-free's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aberdeen Tax-free historical prices to predict the future Aberdeen Tax-free's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.738.979.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.558.799.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.738.979.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.968.978.98
Details

Aberdeen Tax Free Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aberdeen Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aberdeen Tax Free secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0435, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0435% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aberdeen Tax Free Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aberdeen Tax-free's risk adjusted performance of 0.012, and Mean Deviation of 0.1476 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0106%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0106, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aberdeen Tax-free's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aberdeen Tax-free is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.32  

Below average predictability

Aberdeen Tax Free Income has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aberdeen Tax-free time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aberdeen Tax Free price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Aberdeen Tax-free price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.32
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Aberdeen Tax Free lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aberdeen Tax-free mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aberdeen Tax-free's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aberdeen Tax-free returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aberdeen Tax-free has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen Tax-free regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aberdeen Tax-free mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aberdeen Tax-free mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aberdeen Tax-free mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aberdeen Tax-free Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aberdeen Tax-free's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aberdeen Tax-free mutual fund have on its future price. Aberdeen Tax-free autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aberdeen Tax-free autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aberdeen Tax-free mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aberdeen Tax Free Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund

Aberdeen Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Tax-free security.
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