Abbey Capital Futures Fund Market Value

ABYAX Fund  USD 11.04  0.02  0.18%   
Abbey Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Abbey Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Abbey Capital Futures investors about its performance. Abbey Capital is trading at 11.04 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.18 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Abbey Capital Futures and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Abbey Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Abbey Capital Correlation, Abbey Capital Volatility and Abbey Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Abbey Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Abbey Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Abbey Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abbey Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Abbey Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Abbey Capital's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Abbey Capital.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Abbey Capital on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Abbey Capital Futures or generate 0.0% return on investment in Abbey Capital over 30 days. Abbey Capital is related to or competes with Pimco Trends, Pimco Trends, American Beacon, Abbey Capital, Asg Managed, and Asg Managed. The adviser allocates the funds assets between a Managed Futures strategy and a Fixed Income strategy More

Abbey Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Abbey Capital's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Abbey Capital Futures upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Abbey Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Abbey Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Abbey Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Abbey Capital historical prices to predict the future Abbey Capital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5711.0411.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5811.0511.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5311.0011.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8510.9811.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abbey Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abbey Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abbey Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Abbey Capital Futures.

Abbey Capital Futures Backtested Returns

Abbey Capital Futures secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0424, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0424% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Abbey Capital Futures exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Abbey Capital's mean deviation of 0.3748, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Abbey Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Abbey Capital is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Abbey Capital Futures has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Abbey Capital time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Abbey Capital Futures price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Abbey Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Abbey Capital Futures lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Abbey Capital mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Abbey Capital's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Abbey Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Abbey Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Abbey Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Abbey Capital mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Abbey Capital mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Abbey Capital mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Abbey Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Abbey Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Abbey Capital mutual fund have on its future price. Abbey Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Abbey Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Abbey Capital mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Abbey Capital Futures.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Abbey Mutual Fund

Abbey Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abbey Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abbey with respect to the benefits of owning Abbey Capital security.
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