Agricultural Bank Stock Market Value

ACGBF Stock  USD 0.47  0.03  6.00%   
Agricultural Bank's market value is the price at which a share of Agricultural Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Agricultural Bank investors about its performance. Agricultural Bank is trading at 0.47 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 6% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Agricultural Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Agricultural Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out Agricultural Bank Correlation, Agricultural Bank Volatility and Agricultural Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Agricultural Bank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Agricultural Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agricultural Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agricultural Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Agricultural Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Agricultural Bank's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Agricultural Bank.
0.00
12/01/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Agricultural Bank on December 1, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Agricultural Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in Agricultural Bank over 360 days. Agricultural Bank is related to or competes with China Construction, National Australia, Svenska Handelsbanken, Bank of America, Industrial, Bank of America, and Commonwealth Bank. Agricultural Bank of China Limited provides corporate and retail banking products and services More

Agricultural Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Agricultural Bank's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Agricultural Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Agricultural Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Agricultural Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Agricultural Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Agricultural Bank historical prices to predict the future Agricultural Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.473.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.403.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.443.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.470.470.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Agricultural Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Agricultural Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Agricultural Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Agricultural Bank.

Agricultural Bank Backtested Returns

Agricultural Bank appears to be abnormally volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Agricultural Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0717, which signifies that the company had a 0.0717% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Agricultural Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Agricultural Bank's Standard Deviation of 3.02, risk adjusted performance of 0.0616, and Mean Deviation of 1.11 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Agricultural Bank holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.12, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Agricultural Bank are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Agricultural Bank is expected to outperform it slightly. Please check Agricultural Bank's kurtosis, day typical price, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Agricultural Bank's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Agricultural Bank has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Agricultural Bank time series from 1st of December 2023 to 29th of May 2024 and 29th of May 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Agricultural Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Agricultural Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Agricultural Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Agricultural Bank pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Agricultural Bank's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Agricultural Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Agricultural Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Agricultural Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Agricultural Bank pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Agricultural Bank pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Agricultural Bank pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Agricultural Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Agricultural Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Agricultural Bank pink sheet have on its future price. Agricultural Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Agricultural Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Agricultural Bank pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Agricultural Bank.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Agricultural Pink Sheet

Agricultural Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agricultural Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agricultural with respect to the benefits of owning Agricultural Bank security.