Arcellx Stock Market Value
| ACLX Stock | USD 87.22 0.37 0.42% |
| Symbol | Arcellx |
Is Pharmaceutical Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcellx. If investors know Arcellx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcellx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Arcellx is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcellx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcellx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcellx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcellx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcellx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcellx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcellx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcellx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Arcellx 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arcellx's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arcellx.
| 12/03/2022 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Arcellx on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arcellx or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arcellx over 720 days. Arcellx is related to or competes with Nuvalent, Ventyx Biosciences, Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Day One, and Biomea Fusion. Arcellx, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development of various immunotherapies for patient... More
Arcellx Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arcellx's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arcellx upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0771 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.28 |
Arcellx Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arcellx's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arcellx's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arcellx historical prices to predict the future Arcellx's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0923 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1323 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0756 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1604 |
Arcellx Backtested Returns
Arcellx appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Arcellx secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Arcellx, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Arcellx's risk adjusted performance of 0.0923, and Mean Deviation of 2.4 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Arcellx holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.17, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arcellx will likely underperform. Please check Arcellx's coefficient of variation, semi variance, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Arcellx's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.27 |
Poor predictability
Arcellx has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arcellx time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arcellx price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Arcellx price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.27 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 168.9 |
Arcellx lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Arcellx stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arcellx's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arcellx returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arcellx has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Arcellx regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arcellx stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arcellx stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arcellx stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Arcellx Lagged Returns
When evaluating Arcellx's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arcellx stock have on its future price. Arcellx autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arcellx autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arcellx stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arcellx.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Arcellx Stock Analysis
When running Arcellx's price analysis, check to measure Arcellx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcellx is operating at the current time. Most of Arcellx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcellx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcellx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcellx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.