Astoncrosswind Small Cap Fund Market Value

ACWDX Fund  USD 18.29  0.31  1.72%   
Aston/crosswind Small's market value is the price at which a share of Aston/crosswind Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Astoncrosswind Small Cap investors about its performance. Aston/crosswind Small is trading at 18.29 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.72% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Astoncrosswind Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aston/crosswind Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Aston/crosswind Small Correlation, Aston/crosswind Small Volatility and Aston/crosswind Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aston/crosswind Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aston/crosswind Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aston/crosswind Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aston/crosswind Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aston/crosswind Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aston/crosswind Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aston/crosswind Small.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aston/crosswind Small on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Astoncrosswind Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aston/crosswind Small over 360 days. Aston/crosswind Small is related to or competes with Baron Real, Eventide Gilead, Buffalo Emerging, Large Cap, and Smead Value. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings fo... More

Aston/crosswind Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aston/crosswind Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Astoncrosswind Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aston/crosswind Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aston/crosswind Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aston/crosswind Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aston/crosswind Small historical prices to predict the future Aston/crosswind Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aston/crosswind Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2118.2919.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2819.3620.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.5817.6718.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7017.7818.85
Details

Astoncrosswind Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aston/crosswind Mutual Fund to be very steady. Astoncrosswind Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0924, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0924% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Astoncrosswind Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aston/crosswind Small's Mean Deviation of 0.77, downside deviation of 1.03, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0794 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.23, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aston/crosswind Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Astoncrosswind Small Cap has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aston/crosswind Small time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Astoncrosswind Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Aston/crosswind Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.37

Astoncrosswind Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aston/crosswind Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aston/crosswind Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aston/crosswind Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aston/crosswind Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aston/crosswind Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aston/crosswind Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aston/crosswind Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aston/crosswind Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aston/crosswind Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aston/crosswind Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aston/crosswind Small mutual fund have on its future price. Aston/crosswind Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aston/crosswind Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aston/crosswind Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Astoncrosswind Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aston/crosswind Mutual Fund

Aston/crosswind Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aston/crosswind Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aston/crosswind with respect to the benefits of owning Aston/crosswind Small security.
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