Disciplined Growth Fund Market Value
| ADCCX Fund | USD 25.72 0.20 0.78% |
| Symbol | Disciplined |
Disciplined Growth 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Disciplined Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Disciplined Growth.
| 10/31/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Disciplined Growth on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Disciplined Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Disciplined Growth over 30 days. Disciplined Growth is related to or competes with Select Fund, Select Fund, Invesco Disciplined, and American Beacon. In selecting stocks for the fund, the portfolio managers initially identify an eligible universe of growth stocks then u... More
Disciplined Growth Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Disciplined Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Disciplined Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0014 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.9 |
Disciplined Growth Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Disciplined Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Disciplined Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Disciplined Growth historical prices to predict the future Disciplined Growth's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1044 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0168 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0011 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1467 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Disciplined Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Disciplined Growth Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Disciplined Mutual Fund to be very steady. Disciplined Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which denotes the fund had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Disciplined Growth Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Disciplined Growth's Coefficient Of Variation of 751.24, mean deviation of 0.7152, and Downside Deviation of 1.34 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.88, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Disciplined Growth returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Disciplined Growth is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.84 |
Very good predictability
Disciplined Growth Fund has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Disciplined Growth time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Disciplined Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Disciplined Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.84 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.81 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Disciplined Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Disciplined Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Disciplined Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Disciplined Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Disciplined Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Disciplined Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Disciplined Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Disciplined Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Disciplined Growth mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Disciplined Growth Lagged Returns
When evaluating Disciplined Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Disciplined Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Disciplined Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Disciplined Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Disciplined Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Disciplined Growth Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Disciplined Mutual Fund
Disciplined Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Disciplined Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Disciplined with respect to the benefits of owning Disciplined Growth security.
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