Aambahl Gaynor Income Fund Market Value

AFNAX Fund  USD 26.95  0.17  0.63%   
Aam/bahl Gaynor's market value is the price at which a share of Aam/bahl Gaynor trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aambahl Gaynor Income investors about its performance. Aam/bahl Gaynor is trading at 26.95 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.63% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 26.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aambahl Gaynor Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aam/bahl Gaynor over a given investment horizon. Check out Aam/bahl Gaynor Correlation, Aam/bahl Gaynor Volatility and Aam/bahl Gaynor Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aam/bahl Gaynor.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aam/bahl Gaynor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aam/bahl Gaynor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aam/bahl Gaynor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aam/bahl Gaynor 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aam/bahl Gaynor's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aam/bahl Gaynor.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aam/bahl Gaynor on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aambahl Gaynor Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aam/bahl Gaynor over 30 days. Aam/bahl Gaynor is related to or competes with Aam/himco Short, Aam/himco Short, Aam/bahl Gaynor, Aam Select, Aam Select, and Aam/insight Select. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets plus borrowings for investment purpos... More

Aam/bahl Gaynor Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aam/bahl Gaynor's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aambahl Gaynor Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aam/bahl Gaynor Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aam/bahl Gaynor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aam/bahl Gaynor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aam/bahl Gaynor historical prices to predict the future Aam/bahl Gaynor's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3326.9527.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2026.8227.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.2926.9127.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.2726.7827.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aam/bahl Gaynor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aam/bahl Gaynor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aam/bahl Gaynor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aambahl Gaynor Income.

Aambahl Gaynor Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aam/bahl Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aambahl Gaynor Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0833, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0833% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aambahl Gaynor Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aam/bahl Gaynor's Downside Deviation of 0.5913, risk adjusted performance of 0.0777, and Mean Deviation of 0.4994 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.052%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.69, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aam/bahl Gaynor's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aam/bahl Gaynor is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Aambahl Gaynor Income has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aam/bahl Gaynor time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aambahl Gaynor Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Aam/bahl Gaynor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Aambahl Gaynor Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aam/bahl Gaynor mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aam/bahl Gaynor's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aam/bahl Gaynor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aam/bahl Gaynor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aam/bahl Gaynor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aam/bahl Gaynor mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aam/bahl Gaynor mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aam/bahl Gaynor mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aam/bahl Gaynor Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aam/bahl Gaynor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aam/bahl Gaynor mutual fund have on its future price. Aam/bahl Gaynor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aam/bahl Gaynor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aam/bahl Gaynor mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aambahl Gaynor Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aam/bahl Mutual Fund

Aam/bahl Gaynor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aam/bahl Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aam/bahl with respect to the benefits of owning Aam/bahl Gaynor security.
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