Align Technology (Germany) Market Value

AFW Stock  EUR 217.30  5.80  2.74%   
Align Technology's market value is the price at which a share of Align Technology trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Align Technology investors about its performance. Align Technology is trading at 217.30 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 2.74 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 210.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Align Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Align Technology over a given investment horizon. Check out Align Technology Correlation, Align Technology Volatility and Align Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Align Technology.
For more detail on how to invest in Align Stock please use our How to Invest in Align Technology guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Align Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Align Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Align Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Align Technology 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Align Technology's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Align Technology.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Align Technology on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Align Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Align Technology over 30 days. Align Technology is related to or competes with Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Talanx AG, and NorAm Drilling. Align Technology, Inc., a medical device company, designs, manufactures, and markets Invisalign clear aligners and iTero... More

Align Technology Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Align Technology's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Align Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Align Technology Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Align Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Align Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Align Technology historical prices to predict the future Align Technology's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
215.21217.30219.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
210.70212.79239.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
207.12209.21211.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
209.90215.37220.83
Details

Align Technology Backtested Returns

At this point, Align Technology is very steady. Align Technology secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0232, which signifies that the company had a 0.0232% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Align Technology, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Align Technology's Mean Deviation of 1.59, risk adjusted performance of 0.0448, and Downside Deviation of 1.84 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0485%. Align Technology has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.41, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Align Technology's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Align Technology is expected to be smaller as well. Align Technology right now shows a risk of 2.09%. Please confirm Align Technology sortino ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Align Technology will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Align Technology has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Align Technology time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Align Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Align Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance19.4

Align Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Align Technology stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Align Technology's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Align Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Align Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Align Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Align Technology stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Align Technology stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Align Technology stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Align Technology Lagged Returns

When evaluating Align Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Align Technology stock have on its future price. Align Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Align Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Align Technology stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Align Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Align Stock

When determining whether Align Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Align Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Align Technology Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Align Technology Stock:
Check out Align Technology Correlation, Align Technology Volatility and Align Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Align Technology.
For more detail on how to invest in Align Stock please use our How to Invest in Align Technology guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Align Technology technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Align Technology technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Align Technology trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...