Aberdeen Global Dynamic Fund Market Value
| AGD Fund | USD 10.09 0.06 0.60% |
| Symbol | Aberdeen |
Aberdeen Global 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aberdeen Global's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aberdeen Global.
| 10/24/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Aberdeen Global on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aberdeen Global Dynamic or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aberdeen Global over 30 days. Aberdeen Global is related to or competes with MFS Investment, Eaton Vance, Blackrock Muniyield, DTF Tax, and MFS High. Abrdn Global Dynamic Dividend Fund is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Alpine Woods Capital Inv... More
Aberdeen Global Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aberdeen Global's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aberdeen Global Dynamic upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.656 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9615 |
Aberdeen Global Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aberdeen Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aberdeen Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aberdeen Global historical prices to predict the future Aberdeen Global's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0059 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.01) |
Aberdeen Global Dynamic Backtested Returns
At this point, Aberdeen Global is very steady. Aberdeen Global Dynamic secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0527, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0527% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Aberdeen Global Dynamic, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aberdeen Global's risk adjusted performance of 0.0059, and Mean Deviation of 0.5291 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0333%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.46, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aberdeen Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aberdeen Global is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.81 |
Very good predictability
Aberdeen Global Dynamic has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aberdeen Global time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aberdeen Global Dynamic price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Aberdeen Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.81 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Aberdeen Global Dynamic lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Aberdeen Global fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aberdeen Global's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aberdeen Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aberdeen Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Aberdeen Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aberdeen Global fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aberdeen Global fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aberdeen Global fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Aberdeen Global Lagged Returns
When evaluating Aberdeen Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aberdeen Global fund have on its future price. Aberdeen Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aberdeen Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aberdeen Global fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aberdeen Global Dynamic.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund
Aberdeen Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Global security.
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