Invesco Government Fund Market Value
| AGVCX Fund | USD 6.97 0.01 0.14% |
| Symbol | Invesco |
Invesco Us 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Us' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Us.
| 12/12/2022 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Invesco Us on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Government Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Us over 720 days. Invesco Us is related to or competes with Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Oppenheimer Rising, Invesco High, Oppenheimer Strategic, and Oppenheimer International. The fund invests primarily in fixed-income securities and in derivatives and other instruments that have economic charac... More
Invesco Us Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Us' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Government Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.1611 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.86) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.7238 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2882 |
Invesco Us Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Us' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Us' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Us historical prices to predict the future Invesco Us' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0515 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0071 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.74) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.85 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Us' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Government Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Government holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0877, which attests that the entity had a 0.0877% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Invesco Government, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Us' Coefficient Of Variation of 795.56, market risk adjusted performance of 1.86, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0515 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0113%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0041, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Us' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Us is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Invesco Government Fund has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Us time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Government price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Invesco Us price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.52 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Invesco Government lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Us mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Us' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Us returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Us has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Invesco Us regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Us mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Us mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Us mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Invesco Us Lagged Returns
When evaluating Invesco Us' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Us mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Us autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Us autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Us mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Government Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund
Invesco Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Us security.
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