AMADEUS IT (Germany) Market Value
| AI3B Stock | EUR 66.00 0.50 0.76% |
| Symbol | AMADEUS |
AMADEUS IT 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMADEUS IT's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMADEUS IT.
| 10/24/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AMADEUS IT on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMADEUS IT GRP or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMADEUS IT over 30 days. AMADEUS IT is related to or competes with Accenture Plc, Cognizant Technology, Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, and Talanx AG. Amadeus IT Group, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transaction processor for the travel and tourism i... More
AMADEUS IT Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMADEUS IT's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMADEUS IT GRP upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.68 |
AMADEUS IT Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMADEUS IT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMADEUS IT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMADEUS IT historical prices to predict the future AMADEUS IT's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1306 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1583 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0314 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0598 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.85 |
AMADEUS IT GRP Backtested Returns
At this point, AMADEUS IT is very steady. AMADEUS IT GRP retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for AMADEUS IT, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AMADEUS IT's market risk adjusted performance of 0.86, and Coefficient Of Variation of 598.86 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. AMADEUS IT has a performance score of 12 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AMADEUS IT's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMADEUS IT is expected to be smaller as well. AMADEUS IT GRP at this time owns a risk of 1.14%. Please confirm AMADEUS IT GRP market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if AMADEUS IT GRP will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | -0.11 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
AMADEUS IT GRP has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMADEUS IT time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMADEUS IT GRP price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current AMADEUS IT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.52 |
AMADEUS IT GRP lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is AMADEUS IT stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AMADEUS IT's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AMADEUS IT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AMADEUS IT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
AMADEUS IT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AMADEUS IT stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AMADEUS IT stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AMADEUS IT stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
AMADEUS IT Lagged Returns
When evaluating AMADEUS IT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AMADEUS IT stock have on its future price. AMADEUS IT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AMADEUS IT autocorrelation shows the relationship between AMADEUS IT stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMADEUS IT GRP.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in AMADEUS Stock
AMADEUS IT financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMADEUS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMADEUS with respect to the benefits of owning AMADEUS IT security.