Diversified Municipal Portfolio Fund Market Value

AIDZX Fund  USD 13.92  0.01  0.07%   
Diversified Municipal's market value is the price at which a share of Diversified Municipal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Diversified Municipal Portfolio investors about its performance. Diversified Municipal is trading at 13.92 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.07% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Diversified Municipal Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Diversified Municipal over a given investment horizon. Check out Diversified Municipal Correlation, Diversified Municipal Volatility and Diversified Municipal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Diversified Municipal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Diversified Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diversified Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diversified Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Diversified Municipal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Diversified Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Diversified Municipal.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Diversified Municipal on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Diversified Municipal Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Diversified Municipal over 30 days. Diversified Municipal is related to or competes with Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Minnesota, Ab All, Ab All, Ab All, and Ab All. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities More

Diversified Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Diversified Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Diversified Municipal Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Diversified Municipal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Diversified Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Diversified Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Diversified Municipal historical prices to predict the future Diversified Municipal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.7713.9214.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2913.4415.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.7713.9214.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.9113.9213.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Diversified Municipal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Diversified Municipal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Diversified Municipal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Diversified Municipal.

Diversified Municipal Backtested Returns

Diversified Municipal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0144, which denotes the fund had a -0.0144% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Diversified Municipal Portfolio exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Diversified Municipal's Standard Deviation of 0.1476, mean deviation of 0.0884, and Variance of 0.0218 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0579, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Diversified Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Diversified Municipal is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

Diversified Municipal Portfolio has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Diversified Municipal time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Diversified Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Diversified Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Diversified Municipal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Diversified Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Diversified Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Diversified Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Diversified Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Diversified Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Diversified Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Diversified Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Diversified Municipal mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Diversified Municipal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Diversified Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Diversified Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. Diversified Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Diversified Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Diversified Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Diversified Municipal Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Diversified Mutual Fund

Diversified Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Diversified Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Diversified with respect to the benefits of owning Diversified Municipal security.
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