Airbus SE (Germany) Market Value
| AIRA Stock | EUR 36.80 0.60 1.66% |
| Symbol | Airbus |
Airbus SE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Airbus SE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Airbus SE.
| 01/12/2023 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Airbus SE on January 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Airbus SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Airbus SE over 690 days. Airbus SE is related to or competes with Titan Machinery, Summit Hotel, Federal Agricultural, Dalata Hotel, Park Hotels, Australian Agricultural, and Sunstone Hotel. More
Airbus SE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Airbus SE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Airbus SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0151 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.53 |
Airbus SE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Airbus SE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Airbus SE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Airbus SE historical prices to predict the future Airbus SE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0849 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1565 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0148 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.44) |
Airbus SE Backtested Returns
At this point, Airbus SE is very steady. Airbus SE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which signifies that the company had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Airbus SE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Airbus SE's Mean Deviation of 1.12, risk adjusted performance of 0.0849, and Downside Deviation of 1.58 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Airbus SE has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0438, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Airbus SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Airbus SE is likely to outperform the market. Airbus SE right now shows a risk of 1.54%. Please confirm Airbus SE sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Airbus SE will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.28 |
Weak reverse predictability
Airbus SE has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Airbus SE time series from 12th of January 2023 to 23rd of December 2023 and 23rd of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Airbus SE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Airbus SE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.21 |
Airbus SE lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Airbus SE stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Airbus SE's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Airbus SE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Airbus SE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Airbus SE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Airbus SE stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Airbus SE stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Airbus SE stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Airbus SE Lagged Returns
When evaluating Airbus SE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Airbus SE stock have on its future price. Airbus SE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Airbus SE autocorrelation shows the relationship between Airbus SE stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Airbus SE.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Airbus Stock
Airbus SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Airbus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Airbus with respect to the benefits of owning Airbus SE security.