Alfen Beheer (Netherlands) Market Value
| ALFEN Stock | EUR 11.25 0.16 1.40% |
| Symbol | Alfen |
Alfen Beheer 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alfen Beheer's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alfen Beheer.
| 10/30/2023 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alfen Beheer on October 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alfen Beheer BV or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alfen Beheer over 390 days. Alfen Beheer is related to or competes with Fastned BV, Basic Fit, BE Semiconductor, ASM International, and Prosus NV. Alfen N.V., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, develops, produces, and sells products, systems, and services ... More
Alfen Beheer Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alfen Beheer's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alfen Beheer BV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.2 |
Alfen Beheer Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alfen Beheer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alfen Beheer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alfen Beheer historical prices to predict the future Alfen Beheer's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.16) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.64) |
Alfen Beheer BV Backtested Returns
Alfen Beheer BV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which signifies that the company had a -0.1% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alfen Beheer BV exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alfen Beheer's risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Mean Deviation of 2.94 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alfen Beheer's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alfen Beheer is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Alfen Beheer BV has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to confirm Alfen Beheer's jensen alpha, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Alfen Beheer BV performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.35 |
Poor reverse predictability
Alfen Beheer BV has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alfen Beheer time series from 30th of October 2023 to 12th of May 2024 and 12th of May 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alfen Beheer BV price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Alfen Beheer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.35 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 91.11 |
Alfen Beheer BV lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Alfen Beheer stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alfen Beheer's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alfen Beheer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alfen Beheer has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Alfen Beheer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alfen Beheer stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alfen Beheer stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alfen Beheer stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Alfen Beheer Lagged Returns
When evaluating Alfen Beheer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alfen Beheer stock have on its future price. Alfen Beheer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alfen Beheer autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alfen Beheer stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alfen Beheer BV.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Other Information on Investing in Alfen Stock
Alfen Beheer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alfen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alfen with respect to the benefits of owning Alfen Beheer security.