Alger Midcap Growth Fund Market Value

ALMRX Fund  USD 25.61  0.32  1.23%   
Alger Midcap's market value is the price at which a share of Alger Midcap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alger Midcap Growth investors about its performance. Alger Midcap is trading at 25.61 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.23 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 25.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alger Midcap Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alger Midcap over a given investment horizon. Check out Alger Midcap Correlation, Alger Midcap Volatility and Alger Midcap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alger Midcap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alger Midcap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alger Midcap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alger Midcap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alger Midcap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alger Midcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alger Midcap.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alger Midcap on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alger Midcap Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alger Midcap over 720 days. Alger Midcap is related to or competes with Alger Midcap, Alger Mid, Alger Small, Alger Small, Alger Small, Alger Small, and Alger Global. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of companies that, at the time of purchase o... More

Alger Midcap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alger Midcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alger Midcap Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alger Midcap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alger Midcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alger Midcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alger Midcap historical prices to predict the future Alger Midcap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.5725.6126.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.0527.0628.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5625.6026.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.4125.7226.02
Details

Alger Midcap Growth Backtested Returns

Alger Midcap appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Alger Midcap Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.23, which signifies that the fund had a 0.23% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Alger Midcap Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of Alger Midcap's risk adjusted performance of 0.1689, and Mean Deviation of 0.7886 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alger Midcap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alger Midcap is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Alger Midcap Growth has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alger Midcap time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alger Midcap Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Alger Midcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.75

Alger Midcap Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alger Midcap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alger Midcap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alger Midcap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alger Midcap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alger Midcap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alger Midcap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alger Midcap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alger Midcap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alger Midcap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alger Midcap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alger Midcap mutual fund have on its future price. Alger Midcap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alger Midcap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alger Midcap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alger Midcap Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger Midcap security.
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