Aeluma Stock Market Value
| ALMU Stock | 14.43 0.95 6.18% |
| Symbol | Aeluma |
Is there potential for Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment market expansion? Will Aeluma introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aeluma. If investors know Aeluma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Aeluma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Aeluma's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Aeluma's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Aeluma's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Aeluma's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Aeluma's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aeluma represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Aeluma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Aeluma 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aeluma's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aeluma.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Aeluma on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aeluma or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aeluma over 90 days. Aeluma is related to or competes with GSI Technology, Xperi Corp, Everspin Technologies, Vuzix Corp, AudioCodes, 8x8 Common, and SmartRent. More
Aeluma Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aeluma's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aeluma upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.67 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0498 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.93 |
Aeluma Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aeluma's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aeluma's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aeluma historical prices to predict the future Aeluma's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0586 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1869 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0505 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1302 |
Aeluma February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0586 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1402 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.24 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.67 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1612.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.75 | |||
| Variance | 33.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0498 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1869 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0505 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1302 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 27.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.32) | |||
| Skewness | 0.255 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.1139 |
Aeluma Backtested Returns
Aeluma appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Aeluma secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.062, which signifies that the company had a 0.062 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Aeluma, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Aeluma's Mean Deviation of 4.31, risk adjusted performance of 0.0586, and Downside Deviation of 5.67 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Aeluma holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.66, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aeluma will likely underperform. Please check Aeluma's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Aeluma's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.48 |
Modest reverse predictability
Aeluma has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aeluma time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aeluma price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Aeluma price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.23 |
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Additional Tools for Aeluma Stock Analysis
When running Aeluma's price analysis, check to measure Aeluma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeluma is operating at the current time. Most of Aeluma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeluma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeluma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeluma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.